Reginald L. Goodwin's Posts (3116)

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Moore's Law Another Day...

"[Gordon] Moore is my boss, and if your boss makes a law, then you'd better follow it," says Mark Bohr, who leads Intel's efforts to make advances in microchip design practical to manufacture. Moore's Law, of course, was first proposed by Bohr's boss in 1965, when Moore pointed out that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every year. The current form of Moore's law has been set since 1975, when Moore altered the pace to a doubling every two years. Remarkably, the computer industry has maintained that pace ever since, training us to expect computers to become ever faster in the process.

 

Technology Review:
Moore's Law Lives Another Day

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Cold Islands, Hot Fusion...


 


Experimental Fusion Reactor - MIT

One reason it's taking decades to develop fusion reactors that can generate electricity is that physicists don't completely understand what's going on in the high-temperature plasma inside a reactor. Under certain conditions, the plasma—which is where fusion reactions take place—disappears in under a millisecond.

 

A new theory developed by researchers at the U.S. Department of Energy's Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) explains what happens just before the plasma disappears. The explanation could help engineers design better reactors. And that might help them increase the power output of a reactor, perhaps doubling the electricity they could produce, and making fusion reactors more economical.

According to the researchers' theory, islands develop within the plasma that cool off and cause the plasma to disappear. These islands—which are easily identified—could be selectively heated with microwaves, the researchers think, which could keep the plasma stable.

 

Technology Review:
Physicists Crack Fusion Mystery

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Open Apology...

ALdotcom: Girls in Science and Engineering


I don't think it arrogant to apologize for an entire half of a species, since many of the sins of that part I am member - male - I can recall in myself, and constantly seek penance when I recognize certain behaviors I may have consciously, or unwittingly participated in.


I follow the blog "Female Science Professor" (who also hosts Scientopia). Her posts lead to a study by Yale School of Management Professor Victoria L. Brescoll, who authored a paper titled: "Who Takes the Floor and Why: Gender, Power, and Volubility in Organizations." A summary of its findings from Bob Sutton's insightful blog:

  1. In a study of United States senators (using data from 2005 and 2007), more powerful male senators talked quite a bit more on the senate floor than less powerful male senators. But there were no significant differences between how much powerful female senators talked compared to less powerful female senators.

  2. This finding was replicated in a controlled experiment -- again, more powerful men talked more, more powerful women didn't. Additional analyses suggested that powerful women hesitated to talk more because they were concerned about "potential backlash," that they would be seen as less likable, "out of line," domineering, too controlling, would lose power, and be less effective.

As our three branches of government goes, so goes academia, industry; innovation.

That's concerning, because by mid century we will reach a population of 9 billion, meaning as with our birth rates, our problems will multiply exponentially and will need competent technologists to solve them. Women will constitute a majority in the sciences and engineering. I don't see how this moribund, draconian, Neanderthal base attitude can continue, and our competitiveness on a global scale "goes forth" unimpeded as if by the magic of Manifest Destiny!

 

In a sense, Fred and Barney haven't quite left the cave in mythical Bedrock.

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Cinco de Mayo...

Battle of Puebla - Wikipedia

Cinco de Mayo (Spanish for "fifth of May") is a celebration held on May 5. It is celebrated nationwide in the United States and regionally in Mexico, primarily in the state of Puebla, where the holiday is called El Dia de la Batalla de Puebla (English: The Day of the Battle of Puebla). The date is observed in the United States as a celebration of Mexican heritage and pride, and to commemorate the cause of freedom and democracy during the first years of the American Civil War. In the state of Puebla, the date is observed to commemorate the Mexican army's unlikely victory over French forces at the Battle of Puebla on May 5, 1862, under the leadership of General Ignacio Zaragoza Seguín. Contrary to widespread popular belief, Cinco de Mayo is not Mexico's Independence Day—the most important national patriotic holiday in Mexico—which is actually celebrated on September 16. (Wikipedia)

The National Society of Hispanic Physicists has a recognition page of Hispanic Americans in Physics - Past, Present and Future. Similar to what I posted during the month of February, my intention is to give the same attention to Hispanic Scientists and Engineers during the celebration of National Hispanic Heritage Month.

 

Happy Cinco de Mayo!

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Riddle of the Raging One...

TourEgyptdotnet


TECHNOLOGY REVIEW: Egyptian astronomers used what they learned to make predictions about the future. They drew these up in the form of calendars showing lucky and unlucky days.

The predictions were amazingly precise. Each day was divided into three or more segments, each of which was given a rating lying somewhere in the range from very favourable to highly adverse.

One of the best preserved of these papyrus documents is called the Cairo Calendar. Although the papyrus is badly damaged in places, scholars have been able to extract a complete list of ratings for days throughout an entire year somewhere around 1200 BC.

An interesting question is how the scribes arrived at their ratings. So various groups have studied the patterns that crop up in the predictions. Today, Lauri Jetsu and buddies at the University of Helsinki in Finland reveal the results of their detailed statistical analysis of the Cairo Calendar. Their conclusion is extraordinary.

These guys arranged the data as a time series and crunched it with various statistical tools designed to reveal cycles within it. They found two significant periodicities. The first is 29.6 days--that's almost exactly the length of a lunar month, which modern astronomers put at 29.53059 days.

The second cycle is 2.85 days and this is much harder to explain. However, Jetsu and co make a convincing argument that this corresponds to the variability of Algol, a star visible to the naked eye in the constellation of Perseus.

Algol is interesting because every 2.867 days, it dims visibly for a few hours and then brightens up. This was first discovered John Goodricke in 1783, who used naked eye observations to measure the variability.

Astronomers later explained this variability by assuming that Algol is a binary star system. It dims when the dimmer star passes in front of the brighter one.

Nothing else in the visible night sky comes close to having a similar period so it's reasonable to think that the 2.85 and the 2.867 day periods must refer to the same object. "Everything indicated that the two best periods in [the data] were the real periods of the Moon and Algol," say Jetsu and co.


Physics arXiv:
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Post Carbon Society...

 


Being one that grew up during an era of segregation, "the American Dream" I managed to achieve via education and working in an industry that education prepared me quite well for.

 
In an era of "sound-bite politics"; short-sighted goals more concerned with "team victory" than with governing, this documentary should be a part of the debate on education, energy, science and ultimately jobs in this country.

 
As we see the price of gasoline rise at the pump: the price of bringing food to suburbia also rises, as fuel prices rise for the grocers to ship food to their shelves - they transfer that cost to us, a de facto tax irrespective of political party.

 
My fondest childhood memories: my father's "victory garden" he loved to work in our backyard. Literally every vegetable we consumed was grown out back, we then purchased our meats at the grocery store. It saved us much money. Today, it would allow consumers to buy more range-fed poultry and cattle products, healthy as well as a kind of Noble savage protest. In the aftermath of 9-11 and Hurricane Katrina, we're no longer looking for the Cavalry.

 
We may in the end, all need victory gardens...

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More Land, More Moolah...

Keep Bandera Beautiful

If you think saving endangered species is expensive now, just wait a few decades. Climate change will require protected areas to expand if species are to be saved, potentially doubling the cost of such conservation efforts.

 

Rebecca Shaw of the Environmental Defense Fund in San Francisco, California and colleagues studied the Nature Conservancy's Mount Hamilton project, which spans 3200 km2of California. They focused on 11 species in the area with known climate tolerances.

 

They then combined the results of 16 climate models to estimate how the local climate within the project will change between now and 2100. That allowed them to determine how each species' habitat would move, grow or shrink – and thus how much more land would need to be acquired and maintained to preserve them.

 

The analysis suggests that the project will need an extra 2560 km2 of land by 2050. The figure had risen to 3800 km2 by 2100. Shaw estimates the extra cost at $1.73 billion by 2050, and $2.54 billion by 2100. That is slightly more than double the cost of maintaining the project in the absence of climate change.

 

"Mo' money, mo' problems." Biggie Smalls (released posthumously). I say that with some chagrin. Pay now, or pay a LOT later...

 

New Scientist: Climate change will make conservation even pricier

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Alien Sunrise...

Credit: New Scientist

Object: the star HIP 56948

Size: same as the sun

Temperature: same as the sun

Composition: same as the sun

Planets: same as the sun?
 

In the search for other Earths, the main goal is to find a planet the same size as ours that sits in the habitable zone – the region around a given star where planetary surface temperature would be similar to ours, allowing liquid water to exist.


But while an Earth-sized world in one of these habitable zones might have seas and rivers, it would look quite different bathed in blue-white or red light. That could affect the development of life. To exploit the available light, plant leaves could be yellow, orange or red, according to research in 2007 by the Virtual Planetary Laboratory at the California Institute of Technology.

 


Two observations:

  • 200 light years away: this will require breakthrough propulsion physics (blogged on last year), else such a trip is definitely "one-way" only.
  • Hm...that means "eat your spinach" could be even dicier if it's yellow! Just saying...Smiley
 
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Silly Science Predictions...


"Silly science" Cartoon by NilbogLAND

I used this as an intro to "Why not S.T.E.M. (science, technology, engineering, mathematics)?" at Bethel Missionary Baptist Church to 31 students last Saturday. Kids put together their own original circuits & demonstrated to the group. BTW: the young ladies ROCKED. Two girls - 7 and 9 - needed a sliding or push button switch for their "flying saucer." When they couldn't find one in the kits provided, they designed and made their own!

The video "Silly Science" was created in 1960 (Cold War days), and I recall seeing it on Saturday morning shows. Some "predictions" of this 52-year-old cartoon:

Remote Control Box: Universal Remote Control

Robot Dishwasher: Automatic Dishwasher

Robot Vacuum Cleaner: Roomba

Talk-o-Vision: Video Conferencing / Skype

Glass Bottom Boats: See-Through Boats

Remote Control and Radioactivity: Remote Control for Nuclear Power

Instant Highways: Interstate Highway System

Aerial Refueling… (Not of cars!)

Rental Cars… (Not inflatable!)

Drive-Along Movies (now car DVDs)

Auto Parks... Mega Theme Parks

Toll Roads… (Sigh!)

Humans Riding Dinosaurs…ahem, not really!
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Physics of Cancer...

Credit: AIP-Lead-in Photo

The American Institute of Physics publishes several articles on "The Physics of Cancer," and related articles illuminating the research in the topic towards a cure for the disease.

I offer this with some sensitivity and personal experience: my father ultimately expired from lung cancer in 1999; my mother was a breast cancer survivor until her passing in 2009.

It is comforting to know that biological, physical and mathematical sciences, and the yeoman's work of researchers are concentrated on this issue: the extension of human life in length and quality the ultimate goal.

For us as a nation to have a contribution and a stake in this, we need to encourage our youth to enter these fields, engage them in the classroom with exciting labs and non-threatening presentations; as contributors to the advancement of knowledge, not just the end-user-consumers. There should be a way to present science, technology, engineering and mathematics with a little less militancy (as in my own case); entertaining without theater or pedagogic sophistry.

For those, as I, who've been affected similarly, trust that there will be a dawn where like polio, this will ultimately be a part of our history.

Science...and hope.

We've arranged a global civilization in which the most crucial elements — transportation, communications, and all other industries; agriculture, medicine, education, entertainment, protecting the environment; and even the key democratic institution of voting — profoundly depend on science and technology. "We have also arranged things so that almost no one understands science and technology." This is a prescription for disaster. We might get away with it for a while, but sooner or later this combustible mixture of ignorance and power is going to blow up in our faces.

Carl Sagan, The Demon Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark, (1995) Ch. 2 : Science and Hope, p. 26, source: Wikiquote

American Institute of Physics: Physics of Cancer, Edited by:

Robert H. Austin, Princeton University, NJ

Bernard S. Gerstman, Florida International University, Fla.

Colorado University: Discussion of Science and Hope (referencing Carl Sagan)
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Minivan Meteorite...



The picture taken in Reno, Nevada, on Sunday morning shows a meteor the size of a minivan plunging through the Earth's atmosphere, according to Bill Cooke of the Meteoroid Environments Office at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama.



Of course, this would have been one heavy minivan. Cooke said it weighed about 154,300 pounds. Your minivan probably weighs in at about 4,000 pounds.

 

CNN Light Years: NASA: Meteor over California and Nevada was size of minivan

 

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Be Cool...

...minus Chili Palmer!

LASplashdotcom

Replacing roofs and pavements with more reflective versions could lower global temperatures by up to 0.07 °C, equivalent to a reduction in carbon-dioxide emissions of about 150 billion tonnes. That is according to researchers in Canada who used a global climate model to look at the effects of such albedo changes in urban areas.

I almost don't want to post the next paragraph:

"Scientists have been proposing novel ideas – mostly untested – for the geoengineering of global climate," says Hashem Akbari of Concordia University. "But humans have had experience with white buildings and reflective pavements for thousands of years without any unknown negative side effects. Hence, cool urban surfaces should be our geoengineering 101."

The problem isn't geoengineering...it's political will.
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